Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.393555 0.428929 0.467131 0.511638 0.562302 0.618459 0.685799
2025-09-14 0.328721 0.376628 0.432199 0.502187 0.589091 0.694971 0.836160
2025-09-21 0.293136 0.347226 0.413085 0.500707 0.616660 0.768554 0.989244
2025-09-28 0.262415 0.318256 0.388654 0.486178 0.621624 0.809448 1.102223
2025-10-05 0.250736 0.311165 0.390005 0.503762 0.669848 0.914580 1.327018
2025-10-12 0.239433 0.302966 0.388317 0.515917 0.710715 1.014254 1.565543
2025-10-19 0.226481 0.291125 0.380070 0.517024 0.734183 1.089492 1.780113
2025-10-26 0.211761 0.275542 0.364951 0.505870 0.736241 1.128632 1.936689
2025-11-02 0.198409 0.260877 0.349862 0.492995 0.733388 1.157967 2.080494
2025-11-09 0.187443 0.248875 0.337715 0.483402 0.734527 1.194119 2.248258
2025-11-16 0.177879 0.238298 0.326896 0.474820 0.736121 1.230933 2.428091
2025-11-23 0.169525 0.229004 0.317366 0.467416 0.738747 1.269870 2.625290
2025-11-30 0.164221 0.224207 0.314817 0.472101 0.765387 1.365549 3.014533
2025-12-07 0.156400 0.215204 0.305129 0.463806 0.766656 1.408025 3.277469
2025-12-14 0.150715 0.209155 0.299736 0.462494 0.781327 1.483478 3.677629
2025-12-21 0.143158 0.199795 0.288373 0.449483 0.770722 1.497557 3.884377
2025-12-28 0.141760 0.199994 0.292659 0.465229 0.821497 1.672518 4.772057
2026-01-04 0.139507 0.198683 0.294284 0.476100 0.863433 1.836407 5.757758
2026-01-11 0.135671 0.194608 0.290928 0.477089 0.883517 1.946271 6.608299
2026-01-18 0.130260 0.187715 0.282322 0.467115 0.877154 1.978735 7.105970
2026-01-25 0.124936 0.180756 0.273260 0.455591 0.865878 1.994515 7.535599
2026-02-01 0.120398 0.174925 0.265908 0.446996 0.860714 2.028681 8.118655
2026-02-08 0.116263 0.169611 0.259225 0.439300 0.856919 2.066925 8.781173